Global economyThe United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) said on Friday that global economic growth is likely to slow to 2.6% in 2026, down from 2.9% last year, as an energy shock stemming from the crisis in the Middle East tests the resilience of the global economy. UNCTAD said in its Trade and Development Report that trade in goods and services is expected to grow by 4% at constant prices, after global trade reached an unprecedented 35 trillion dollars in 2025, although the projected increase is being driven by higher energy prices. Trade between China and the United States has fallen by more than 20% since 2024, while East Asia has expanded trade with China and North America, Reuters reported. “Export controls, investment screening and supply-chain conditions make it difficult for new participants to access strategic sectors,” UNCTAD said. Asia is expected to account for 59% of global economic growth in 2026, with India’s economy forecast to grow by 7.3%, China’s by 4.5% and Indonesia’s by 5.2%. UNCTAD said artificial intelligence products such as semiconductors are a key driver of trade.